This is why the S&P 500 can be expected to continue to outperform small-cap stocks

by TexasDigitalMagazine.com


Last year the S&P 500
SPX
returned 26.3% but the small-cap Russell 2000
RUT
trailed with a 16.9% return, both with dividends reinvested. Now take a look at longer-term returns for exchange-traded funds that track the two indexes:

ETF

3 years

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

32%

101%

206%

570%

516%

iShares Russell 2000 ETF

4%

51%

93%

376%

349%

Source: FactSet

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
has outperformed the iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
dramatically for all periods.

Some investors might point out that small-caps are attractive because they trade at relatively cheap price-to-earnings valuations when compared with the S&P 500. Mark Hulbert skewers this argument and explains why the S&P 500 is likely to continue to outperform the Russell 2000.

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“Magnificent Seven” companies

Ticker

2024 return through Jan. 4

2023 return

2022 return

Return since end of 2021

Apple Inc.

AAPL,
-0.45%
-6%

49%

-26%

4%

Microsoft Corp.

MSFT,
+0.01%
-2%

58%

-28%

11%

Alphabet Inc. Class A

GOOGL,
-0.58%
-2%

58%

-39%

-6%

Amazon.com Inc.

AMZN,
+0.37%
-5%

81%

-50%

-13%

Nvidia Corp.

NVDA,
+2.36%
-3%

239%

-50%

63%

Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

META,
+1.28%
-2%

194%

-64%

3%

Tesla Inc.

TSLA,
+0.02%
-4%

102%

-65%

-32%

Source: FactSet

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